Modeling UK Natural Gas Prices When Gas Prices Periodically Decouple from the Oil Price

The Relationship Between Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices

This paper examines the time series econometric relationship between the Henry Hub natural gas price and the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price. Typically, this relationship has been approached using simple correlations and deterministic trends. When data have unit roots as in this case, such analysis is faulty and subject to spurious results. We find a cointegrating relationship rel...

Forecasting commodity prices by classification methods: The cases of crude oil and natural gas spot prices

In this article, we forecast crude oil and natural gas spot prices at a daily frequency based on two classification techniques: artificial neural networks (ANN) and support vector machines (SVM). As a benchmark, we utilize an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) specification. We evaluate outof-sample forecast based on encompassing tests and mean-squared prediction error (MSPE). We ...

U . S . oil and natural gas reserve prices , 1982 - 2003

A time series is estimated of in-ground prices of U.S. oil and natural gas reserve prices for the period 1982–2003, usingmarket transaction data. Reserves sold are considered as proved; errors in this respectmay affect estimates, in either direction. The data are also used to examine the impact of reserve status, production rate, andwell head prices, on reserve prices. Both oil and gas current ...

The Effect of Natural Gas Prices on Gas Consumption by Iranian Industries

Natural gas has an advantageous position compared to other energy carriers in policy making of energy consumption due to its many advantages, especially in terms of environmental indicators. In Iran, the industrial sector is considered as one of the important sectors of natural gas consumption. The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between natural gas prices and indu...

Are Crude Oil, Gas And Coal Prices Co integrated?